It’s another of those recap Fridays, to pick up news that was pushed aside by other developments and to try to drag some cohesion out of the general muddle of news. I think the theme of earnings calls for the week has been “an industry in transition” and so I’ll stay with that theme and…
Spotlighting Carrier Capex and Profit Plans
Verizon’s comments about capex and generally better visibility from vendors has helped the telecom equipment space look a bit better, and of course that’s been our forecast since the spring. My model shows general telecom spending will increase through 2015, with spending in all equipment areas showing some gain. This represents the “last-gasp” modernization funded…
Juniper Will Get a New CEO
Juniper reported its numbers, which showed better profits and a slight improvement in revenue, and then issued a pretty nice 3Q outlook to boot. The initial reaction of the Street was mixed; some hoped for better performance given Juniper’s multiple, and others were happy. But earnings may not have been the big news. Kevin Johnson,…
Can Cisco Ride Sourcefire to Cloud Supremacy?
Cisco today announced one of their bigger acquisitions—security specialist firm Sourcefire. The move is likely linked to the trends in security that I’ve seen in our surveys—most recently the spring survey published in Netwatcher just a few days ago. It’s also likely to be another Cisco shot at Juniper, whose enterprise strategy is heavily linked…
Setting Boundaries in a Virtual World
Everyone knows you have to set boundaries in the real world, to insure that friction where interests overlap is contained and that reasonable interactions are defined. One of the things that’s becoming clear about virtualization—not a la VMware but in the most general sense—is that even defining boundaries is difficult. With nothing “real”, where does…
Google and Microsoft: More than Mobile Problems
The earnings reports from Microsoft and Google followed the pattern of other tech reports from this quarter—a revenue miss offset at least in part by cost reduction. There’s been a tendency for the Street to look at these two misses and declare a common cause—that both Google and Microsoft have failed to come to terms…
Earnings Show We Need Revolution Conservation!
We had some important tech earnings reports yesterday, and so we need to review them in a systematic way. IBM and Intel are perhaps the two prototypical tech giants, and what they do in concert is a measure of the health of the industry. Let’s start with IBM, who was a poster child for the…
Cyan’s Metro Win: Shape of Things to Come
Cyan’s Telesystem win in packet-optical for its Z-series and SDN technology is an interesting indicator of some major metro trends. While it’s victory over TDM is hardly newsworthy, it does show that packet advantages over TDM can justify a technology change—and any time you can justify technology change the barrier to doing something revolutionary is…
How NSN Undershot the CDN Opportunity
So near, and yet so far! How many times have we heard that comment? In the case of NSN with their recent deal with CDNetworks, we have a current example. NSN is seeing beyond the present, but they’re not yet seeing the future of content delivery. That might mean they’re not seeing, or optimizing, their…
One for the Merger, Two for the SMB, Three for the Cloud
What does AT&T’s decision to buy Leap Wireless, Cisco’s decision to do a cloud partnership with Microsoft, and Amazon at three hundred bucks a share have in common? They’re symbols of a market in transition and a call for action to start gathering your troops for some coherent planning. Traditional communications services, which are services…